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US Could Be Under ‘Right-Wing Dictatorship’ by 2030, Professor Warns



A Canadian professor wrote an op-ed warning that “American democracy could collapse” by 2025 and the country “could be governed by a right-wing dictatorship” by 2030.

“By 2025, American democracy could collapse, causing extreme domestic political instability, including widespread civil violence. By 2030, if not sooner, the country could be governed by a right-wing dictatorship,” wrote Thomas Homer-Dixon, executive director of the Cascade Institute at Royal Roads University in British Columbia.

Homer-Dixon, a self-proclaimed “scholar of violent conflict,” warned Canadians that their country must be prepared as the U.S. seems headed toward inevitable political collapse.

“We mustn’t dismiss these possibilities just because they seem ludicrous or too horrible to imagine. In 2014, the suggestion that Donald Trump would become president would also have struck nearly everyone as absurd. But today we live in a world where the absurd regularly becomes real and the horrible commonplace,” Homer-Dixon wrote.

“Today, as I watch the unfolding crisis in the United States, I see a political and social landscape flashing with warning signals.”

The political science professor went on the write that the U.S. is “becoming increasingly ungovernable, and some experts believe it could descend into civil war.”


“A terrible storm is coming from the south, and Canada is woefully unprepared. Over the past year we’ve turned our attention inward, distracted by the challenges of Covid-19, reconciliation and the accelerating effects of climate change,” he wrote.

Homer-Dixon sounds the alarm on the possibility of another Trump presidency in 2024, saying it could spell trouble for America’s neighbor to the north.

“But now we must focus on the urgent problem of what to do about the likely unraveling of democracy in the United States. We need to start by fully recognizing the magnitude of the danger. If Mr. Trump is re-elected, even under the more optimistic scenarios the economic and political risks to our country will be innumerable.”

The professor says Trump “and a host of acolytes and wannabes such as Fox [News]’s Tucker Carlson and Georgia representative Marjorie Taylor Greene” transformed the Republican party “into a near-fascist personality cult that’s a perfect instrument for wrecking democracy.”

Though Homer-Dixon issued a dire warning for what may happen following a 2024 victory for the former president, he says “Trump may be just a warm-up act.”

“Returning to office, [Trump will] be the wrecking ball that demolishes democracy, but the process will produce a political and social shambles. Still, through targeted harassment and dismissal, he’ll be able to thin the ranks of his movement’s opponents within the state – the bureaucrats, officials and technocrats who oversee the non-partisan functioning of core institutions and abide by the rule of law. Then the stage will be set for a more managerially competent ruler, after Mr. Trump, to bring order to the chaos he’s created.”



The American polity is cracked, and might collapse. Canada must prepare