January 1, Early Voting Surge Puts Democrats Ahead But Election Day Could Flip The Script

Wyatt’s Take

• Democrats are banking on early ballots to carry them, but they forget Election Day is when working folks punch the clock and vote.
• Record early numbers look scary until you remember Republicans have crushed Election Day turnout for years.
• The real test comes November 5 when hardworking Americans show up and make their voices heard.

Early voting is running well ahead of the 2022 pace in key states, and registered Democrats lead the early returns, but Republicans have historically dominated Election Day voting.

More than 23 million Americans have already cast ballots, and the numbers keep climbing every day. Democrats are banking on their early lead holding through Election Day.

Republicans know the pattern. Their voters show up strong on Election Day when it matters most. Working families who punch the clock often cannot drop everything for early voting sites.

“Republicans have historically dominated Election Day voting.”

The early vote numbers look impressive on paper, but they do not tell the whole story. Many of those early ballots come from urban areas where Democrats have always run strong.

Rural and suburban voters, the heart of the Republican coalition, tend to wait until Election Day. These are the same people who keep the country running and show up when it counts.

Election Day turnout will decide whether Democrats can hold their early lead or if Republicans close the gap with a surge of working-class voters.

Wyatt Matters

Middle America understands that real change happens when everyday citizens take time from their jobs and families to cast their ballots on Election Day.