January 1, 10 Democrat Seats Republicans Could Flip to Keep Control

Wyatt’s Take

• Democrats are losing ground fast as redistricting hands Republicans a real shot at keeping the House.
• Far-left radicals are driving normal voters away while GOP candidates focus on kitchen-table issues like jobs and safety.
• Trump’s warnings about the border and economy are proving right again in these battleground districts.

The fight for the House is down to the wire. Republicans and Democrats are racing toward Election Day with control of Congress hanging in the balance.

House Democrats hold a slim lead in the latest Fox News Power Rankings. The left is projected to take 215 seats while Republicans sit at 201. Nineteen districts remain toss-ups, leaving the final outcome wide open.

Republicans see a clear opening. The far-left takeover inside the Democratic Party is pushing the whole outfit further left than most Americans can stomach.

Rep. Shomari Figures, D-Ala., is running for re-election in a district redrawn to favor Republicans. The new lines would have gone for President Donald Trump by roughly 14 percent in 2024. Both Fox News Power Rankings and the Cook Political Report call it likely Republican.

Florida lawmakers also redrew their maps. Rep. Darren Soto, D-Fla., took the hardest hit. His new district would have backed Trump by nearly 18 percent. Fox News rates it lean Republican while the Cook Political Report calls it a likely GOP pickup.

The Tampa-area seat held by Rep. Kathy Castor, D-Fla., was also redrawn. The longtime Democrat now faces former state lawmaker Mike Beltran. Under the new boundaries Trump would have carried the district by 10.5 percent. Both ratings outlets list it as a toss-up.

Rep. Cleo Fields, D-La., is retiring. The same Supreme Court rulings that opened the door in Alabama let Louisiana redraw the 6th district to include more Republican-leaning areas. Both Fox News and the Cook Political Report project a Republican win.

In Maine, moderate Rep. Jared Golden is stepping down. The open seat sits in a district Trump won by 9 percent. Former Gov. Paul LePage is the Republican nominee. Fox News calls it a toss-up while the Cook Political Report sees a likely GOP victory.

North Carolina’s new map has Rep. Don Davis, D-N.C., in a tough spot. Trump carried the district last cycle and the new lines widened that margin. Republican Laurie Buckhout is running again after coming within two points in 2024. Fox News rates it a toss-up while the Cook Political Report leans Republican.

Texas Republicans redrew their lines early. One open seat they targeted sits in a district Trump would have won by 10 percent. Both ratings outlets project a slight Republican edge.

Rep. Marcy Kaptur, D-Ohio, faces another redistricting fight. Her district now includes more Republican areas. Trump would have won by 10.5 percent under the new lines. Fox News and the Cook Political Report still list it as a toss-up.

Wyatt Matters

Working families in the heartland care about safe streets, steady jobs, and borders that actually work. These races show voters still have a chance to send leaders who put those priorities first instead of chasing radical agendas.